NFL Week 10 picks odds Steelers struggle vs. Lions Patriots keep rolling with win over Browns
NFL Week 10 picks odds Steelers struggle vs. Lions Patriots keep rolling with win over Browns
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We're halfway through the NFL season, give or take, and it's kind of amazing we still don't know, well, anything. Just when we're starting to think we know some things, along come the to beat the in a game with a total of 15 points scored.Every single AFC team has laid some kind of egg at some point this season, whether it's the losing to the or the and losing to the or the Bills in Jacksonville. The are broken. The are dumping high-profile players. The lost to the . The NFC is stronger up top but not much cleaner.There's no one with a clean resume who feels trustworthy. This week makes things even more confusing -- there are tons of huge point spreads and those teams laying a lot of points felt safe a week ago, but now suddenly we don't know who to trust.Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ()This isn't a "must win" game for the Bills but it's definitely a "better get right" game for Josh Allen and this offense. They scored six points against the Jaguars. Six points. Against the Jaguars. Even a few days removed it doesn't feel real. The Bills' offensive struggles the last few weeks are extremely concerning, but they started to figure it out in the second half against the Jags a bit by focusing on feeding . is great, but he shouldn't be the focal point of this offense; 33.9 percent of Diggs' routes are longer-developing ('go,' 'post,' and 'corner' specifically) after John Ludvig Kids Jersey just running those 27.5 percent of the time last year. Let him work at different levels! Defensively the Bills are still doing a lot of good things -- per CBS Sports Research, they've allowed just five pa sing touchdowns, have 11 interceptions, have given up 1,416 pa sing yards and just 5.6 yards per pa s attempt. Basically the Bills have turned their opponents' quarterbacks into some combo of , and . NFL Legend gets the start but the fairy tale might come to an end. Buffalo isn't scared to flex on division opponents and they just got embarra sed real bad. The Jets have given up 43.3 points, 25 (!) plays of 20+ yards and allowed 81.3 percent of red zone trips for touchdowns over the last three weeks. The pick:Bills 35, Jets 7Props, Best Bets: Bills -12.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ () No in this game, a real shame after he picked up AFC OPOW for his dominating 9.8 yards per carry performance against the Bengals. Bill Belichick probably won't mind, especially since he's trying to keep alive a streak of beating Cleveland in Foxborough. The last win by the Browns in New England came in 1992 ... and Belichick was the coach. Chubb, and all tested positive for COVID-19 this week, which means is likely the only active running back on the roster. is averaging over 10 yards per attempt in the three games without , Jr., and 7.5 in Weeks 3-8 when Beckham was active. But it's fair to wonder if Baker can keep it rolling in New England. I'm buying the Pats as a playoff team and legit contender in a big way. My biggest concern here is the Browns' ability to slow down the run and Damien Harris/Rhamondre Stevenson being in the concu sion protocol. I'm not sure is a bell cow. The line has moved in the opposite direction, but I'm backing the Pats and Belichick's resurgent defense.The Pick: Patriots 24, Browns 21Bets: NopeSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ () The Colts have the third-lowest strength of victory (.235) in the NFL this year, ahead of only the (.000) and (.231), beating the Dolphins, , 49ers and Jets on the season. Fortunately for them they're playing the Jaguars this week. The Jags defense has actually been good against the run, ranking eighth in rush defense DVOA on the season, which might pose a problem for and . The Jags are also one of the best rushing teams in the NFL, so I don't see this being a shootout despite the hefty 47.5 point total. Both secondaries are suspect, so maybe it turns into a chuck-fest between and . profiles as a great DFS and prop position this week and there might be a skinny stack here with . I don't feel good about backing the Jags here but I think they keep it within one score. The Pick: Colts 28, Jaguars 21Bets: Michael Pittman oversSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV () Prime explosion spot for and the Cowboys offense after being e sentially blanked by Denver last week. The Falcons are unquestionably a bottom five defense and even though the Atlanta offense has been playing well recently, we have the added bonus of a Dan Quinn Revenge Game upcoming. might go bananas and if you haven't bet him to win DROY yet, now is a good time before he gets past -150. There isn't anyone close right now. has more scrimmage yards than , more receptions than , more touchdowns than and more yards per catch than . He's one of the best stories of the year in the NFL. But the Falcons are likely trailing most of this game and that will make life tough for on a ton of drop backs. Everyone knows I love Revenge Narratives, so give me all the props after the Falcons pa sed on him. is absolutely a factor here -- the Cowboys are just objectively much worse without him. If he doesn't play I might flip my pick.The Pick: Cowboys 35, Falcons 23Bets: CeeDee Lamb oversSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ () The Titans are Henrik Borgstrom Men Jersey on an absolute heater right now after beating the Bills, Chiefs, Colts and consecutively. Next up? ! Tenne see's actual concern is the Saints defense, checking in as a top-three unit and No. 1 against the run. In theory the Titans will throw more with no but they're clearly committed to keeping the same offense despite the Big Dog going down. Tenne see's defense was incredible against the Rams on Sunday night, but Sean Payton plus the Saints offensive line should neutralize the rush to a degree. I'd be extremely interested to know what the line would do if is ruled out, except for the fact I really don't want Alvin Kamara ruled out. This feels like a grinder game.The Pick: Saints 21, Titans 17Bets:Saints +3Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV () Every year for the last few years we wonder how the Steelers keep managing to pull out a bag of magic beans and win games they probably shouldn't. Maybe we should just give Mike Tomlin more credit. The Lions profile as a frisky cover machine piling up garbage time points, but they don't score points. Detroit hasn't scored more than 20 points since Week 1. The Steelers letting the back in Monday night's game definitely gives pause, but the Lions simply aren't good, at all. They're going against a scary Steelers DL and Detroit is 25th in DVOA against the run. might go huge here. I will very begrudgingly take the Lions catching nine points but I don't feel good about it and the game won't feel close. The Pick: Steelers 21, Lions 14Bets: Steelers 1HSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV () Sure feels like every single spread is north of nine the last month or so in the NFL and this game qualifies. It's an actual rematch of the playoff game, thanks to starting against . The big difference is the Washington defense is terrible now. Ron Rivera's crew is 31st against the pa s and the only reprieve they get is and being banged up. Skinny stacks in DFS with and are extremely interesting given how these two teams let opponents throw the ball. I'm probably looking over here versus a side and Evans/Tyler Johnson props are intriguing. We could see a lot more usage plus the tight ends if AB/Godwin are out.The Pick: Bucs 31, WFT 24Bets: Need to see injury reportSunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ () The Broncos just played a great defensive game post but I'm not sure this is an actual good defense. It's a cla sic letdown spot coming off the "everyone might be fired after Von got traded" game. Philly has skewed run heavy the last few weeks and the Broncos aren't slowing down the run. Hope you like touchdowns!The Pick: Eagles 21, Broncos 17Bets: NahSunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:Fox|Stream:fuboTV () The Panthers are a hot me s. Such a me s they're apparently bringing back ?!?! Imagine cutting Cam, signing to a huge deal, trading Teddy, trading FOR Sam Darnold ... only to bring back Cam. And no matter what happens, they have a worse quarterback situation than the Cardinals, even if is out. David Tepper is really something else. Desperation is a Vincent Trocheck Women Jersey stinky cologne and the Panthers are soaked in it. The defense will keep them in this one for the first half but it's hard to imagine them having a chance to win this game, even with a bunch of Cardinals reserves playing. I think they cover, barely, but mostly because it's a let-down spot after a big rivalry game for Arizona. The Pick: Cardinals 23, Panthers 13Bets: No tySunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:Fox|Stream:fuboTV () If this game doesn't go over the total I am going to be a very sad panda. I've earmarked this bad boy for DFS already and already bet on the over as well. You can run on the Chargers so it's a little worrisome that Mike Zimmer could lean on Dalvin Cook (and Cook is apparently playing despite a highly concerning civil lawsuit filed against him in recent days) and in the run game here. Minnesota's defense is just depleted, though, and I think it means the Chargers finding some big plays in the pa s game. If you can score early on the Vikings, you can easily coax them into slinging the ball around and all of a sudden is lobbing bombs to and .The Pick: Chargers 35, Vikings 31Bets: Over 53Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ () After the football gods conspired to steal vs. from us, they decided to giveth in this game, sending both (hand) and (hopefully) Aaron Rodgers (COVID) back for this game. Some people thought this would be the OBJ bowl if he ended up waiting until next week to decide on a landing spot. Instead, it's a bit of a desperation spot for the Seahawks, who need to find a way to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Packers will probably have an angry Rodgers looking to let everyone know just how important he is to the team, as if that wasn't obvious with on the field. Against Seattle's defense, No. 12 shouldn't have much of a problem showing that.The Pick: Packers 28, Seahawks 24Bets: over rush yardsSunday, 8:20 p.m. ETTV:NBC|Stream:fuboTV () We all just keep expecting the Chiefs to break out of their funk and it simply just keeps not happening. Will the final drive and throw against the Packers serve as a catalyst for Patrick Mahomes to suddenly start playing good football again? The problem is the Raiders are currently playing good football. And I'm not sure they should be underdogs at home to a team playing as questionably as the Chiefs have been the last few weeks. Despite a pretty bad record against K.C. in his career, has actually shown up really well against the Chiefs over the last few years. He knows how big this game is for both teams. I can't see him coming out flat here. The Pick: Raiders 24, Chiefs 21Bets: UnderMonday, 8:15 p.m. ETTV:ESPN|Stream:fuboTV () The debut of Von Miller and Odell Beckham on the road for the Rams! The entire world is going to be on Los Angeles here against a wounded division opponent, particularly with everyone wanting to fade the 49ers right now. The Rams are loading up on superstars via trades and free agency and starting to become the popular team du jour. The 49ers are the opposite of that -- their offense looks lethargic, people are wondering if the the Niners need to jump to , and Kyle Shanahan is coming under serious heat. It all sets up for a perfect buy low opportunity for San Francisco.The Pick: 49ers 24, Rams 21Bets: Pa sThursday, 8:20 p.m. ETTV:NBC|Stream:fuboTV ()Follow:The Dolphins completely flipped the script on the Ravens with their Florida narrative on Thursday night. I was dead wrong on this game. The pick:Ravens 35, Dolphins 17Props, Best Bets: NopeHonor our service members while supporting your favorite team. Get camo trucker hats, pullovers hoodies, jerseys, and more. . We salute our service members and thank you for your dedication!
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